Nublense 2-2 Universidad Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
15%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+5.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.4pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.44/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.04
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
21.3 Crosses 21.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
106 Passes 176
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2026 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 0-2 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİLK
06.04.2025 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 1-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİLİK
01.02.2025 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 2-3 HT 2-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİK
13.03.2015 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 2-2 HT 2-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
18.10.2014 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-0 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion ŞİL
31.08.2013 Universidad Concepcion Universidad Concepcion 2-2 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
2-2
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
1.52 xG 0.96
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
178 Passes 435
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Universidad Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense and Universidad Concepcion couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nublense at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Nublense had 34% of the ball to Universidad Concepcion's 66%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.52 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nublense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nublense and 1.17 for Universidad Concepcion.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Universidad Concepcion?

Nublense 2-2 Universidad Concepcion in the Chile - Premier League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Universidad Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nublense 61%, draw 21%, Universidad Concepcion 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nublense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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