Canberra Olympic 4-4 Belconnen United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
14%
4.34
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
20%
Over 2.5
80%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
78%
1.32
No
22%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.1pp
14%
Draw
20%
-6.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
78%
BTTS Yes
72%
+6.5pp
22%
BTTS No
28%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra Olympic EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Belconnen United EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.20/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.74
+0% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra Olympic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Belconnen United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2022 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 4-0 Belconnen United Belconnen United AVNPL
25.06.2022 Belconnen United Belconnen United 2-2 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
30.04.2022 Belconnen United Belconnen United 1-3 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVTCT
12.06.2021 Belconnen United Belconnen United 0-1 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
17.04.2021 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 3-0 Belconnen United Belconnen United AVNPL
25.04.2015 Belconnen United Belconnen United 3-2 HT 2-0 Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra Olympic and Belconnen United shared the points in a 4-4 draw. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Canberra Olympic carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (80%), both teams to score (78%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra Olympic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Canberra Olympic and 1.00 for Belconnen United.

What was the final score of Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United?

Canberra Olympic 4-4 Belconnen United in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra Olympic vs Belconnen United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Canberra Olympic 58%, draw 14%, Belconnen United 28%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra Olympic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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