Port Melbourne 0-2 Moreland Zebras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 23 May 2026

Port Melbourne
0-2 HT 0-1
Moreland Zebras
📅23/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

Port Melbourne vs Moreland Zebras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
55%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
30%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Port Melbourne v Moreland Zebras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreland Zebras EU Bookmakers 70%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.25/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.49
-23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Port Melbourne vs Moreland Zebras Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Moreland Zebras
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
13.02.2026 Moreland Zebras Moreland Zebras 3-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVPL1
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Moreland Zebras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreland Zebras got the better of Port Melbourne 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moreland Zebras as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Moreland Zebras?

Port Melbourne 0-2 Moreland Zebras in the AVPL1 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Moreland Zebras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreland Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 24%, draw 21%, Moreland Zebras 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreland Zebras) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreland Zebras) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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