Melbourne Srbija 3-0 Western United II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.1pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.4pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United II EU Bookmakers 37%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-9% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Srbija
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Western United II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
15.02.2026 Western United II Western United II 1-0 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija AVPL1
26.07.2025 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija 1-1 HT 0-1 Western United II Western United II NPL2
13.04.2025 Western United II Western United II 3-1 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija NPL2
POST-MATCH Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija cruised past Western United II 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Srbija as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Western United II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Melbourne Srbija and 1.67 for Western United II.

What was the final score of Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II?

Melbourne Srbija 3-0 Western United II in the AVPL1 on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Srbija vs Western United II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Srbija win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Srbija 44%, draw 19%, Western United II 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Srbija), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Srbija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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