Nautico 1-0 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 May 2026

Nautico
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Cuiaba
📅23/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
33%
2.96
Away
19%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.52
Over
35%
2.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.03
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
14%
5.51
6+
2%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nautico The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Cuiaba The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nautico
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.04 xG 1.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
267 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2020 Nautico Nautico 2-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
30.09.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BR2
15.03.2018 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-1 HT 0-0 Nautico Nautico BRK
01.03.2018 Nautico Nautico 2-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nautico
1 - 0
AWAY Cuiaba
1.85 xG 0.36
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
426 Passes 186
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Nautico vs Cuiaba
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nautico came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Cuiaba 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Nautico as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 67% to 33% in Nautico's favour, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.85 to 0.36 — on chances created, Nautico won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nautico had the better of it with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.25 a game for Nautico against 0.50 for Cuiaba.

Nautico vs Cuiaba Result & Final Score

Nautico 1 - 0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nautico vs Cuiaba Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Nautico win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nautico 48%, draw 33%, Cuiaba 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nautico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nautico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
23 May 2026
22:00 Novorizontino vs Ceara Analysis →