Novorizontino 2-1 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 May 2026

Novorizontino
2 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Ceara
📅23/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Novorizontino vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.61
Over
40%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.39
2-3
48%
1.7
4-5
16%
4.4
6+
3%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Novorizontino v Ceara — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Novorizontino The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Ceara The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3

Novorizontino vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ceara
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.10 xG 0.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
228 Passes 294
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
27.08.2024 Ceara Ceara 1-0 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
11.05.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-3 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
19.09.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 4-1 HT 3-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
28.05.2023 Ceara Ceara 0-3 HT 0-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2

Novorizontino 2-1 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
2 - 1
AWAY Ceara
0.94 xG 0.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
295 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Novorizontino vs Ceara
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Novorizontino came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Ceara 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Novorizontino had 49% of the ball to Ceara's 51%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.94 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Novorizontino and 1.25 for Ceara.

Novorizontino vs Ceara Result & Final Score

Novorizontino 2 - 1 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Novorizontino vs Ceara Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 45%, draw 31%, Ceara 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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