Ceara 1-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Aug 2024

Ceara
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Novorizontino
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Ceara vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
22%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.17
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.24
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
15%
5.5
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
2%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Ceara v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ceara The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Novorizontino The Market 26%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
0.93 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
28 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3

Ceara vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.82 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
291 Passes 223
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-3 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
19.09.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 4-1 HT 3-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
28.05.2023 Ceara Ceara 0-3 HT 0-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2

Ceara 1-0 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1 - 0
AWAY Novorizontino
1.50 xG 0.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
302 Passes 243
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Ceara vs Novorizontino
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ceara found just enough to beat Novorizontino 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Ceara's favour, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.50 to 0.42.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Novorizontino led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Ceara against 2.33 for Novorizontino.

Ceara vs Novorizontino Result & Final Score

Ceara 1 - 0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ceara vs Novorizontino Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ceara 48%, draw 30%, Novorizontino 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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