Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulinzi Stars v Mathare United — Team-Based Signals
Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Mathare United — Actual Match Statistics
Ulinzi Stars squeezed past Mathare United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ulinzi Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ulinzi Stars had 51% of the ball to Mathare United's 49%, shots finished 14-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mathare United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ulinzi Stars and 0.50 for Mathare United.
What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?
Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 40%, draw 28%, Mathare United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.