Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Mathare United — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Kenya - Premier League, 23 May 2026

Ulinzi Stars WLWWL→
2 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Mathare United LDWLL→
📅23/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 07:04
Match Result
Home
38%
2.32
Draw
33%
2.96
Away
29%
3.04
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.17
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Ulinzi Stars v Mathare United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ulinzi Stars The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY Mathare United The Market 33%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 1

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mathare United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.01.2026 Mathare United Mathare United 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
01.12.2024 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN

Ulinzi Stars 2-1 Mathare United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulinzi Stars
2 - 1
AWAY Mathare United
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
REVIEW Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ulinzi Stars shaded a tight game against Mathare United 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Ulinzi Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Ulinzi Stars had 51% of the ball to Mathare United's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mathare United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ulinzi Stars and 0.50 for Mathare United.

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United Result & Final Score

Ulinzi Stars 2 - 1 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ulinzi Stars vs Mathare United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 38%, draw 33%, Mathare United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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