Ahlafors IF 4-1 BK Forward — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY BK Forward EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.15/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.42
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
458 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BK Forward
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
16.10.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-4 HT 0-2 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
14.08.2021 BK Forward BK Forward 5-1 HT 1-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs BK Forward
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF swept aside BK Forward 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BK Forward led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ahlafors IF and 4.50 for BK Forward.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs BK Forward?

Ahlafors IF 4-1 BK Forward in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs BK Forward?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 55%, draw 24%, BK Forward 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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