Nosaby IF 2-1 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.86/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/3.49
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF squeezed past Hogaborgs BK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Nosaby IF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs BK?

Nosaby IF 2-1 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nosaby IF vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nosaby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nosaby IF 41%, draw 23%, Hogaborgs BK 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nosaby IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nosaby IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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