Meksika 1-0 Jamaika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa America, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.07
Over 2.5
38%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 34% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.82
1/2
6%
67.0
1/X
5%
17.25
X/1
15%
3.64
X/2
6%
12.75
X/X
18%
5.99
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
8%
10.1
2/X
9%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.5pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.6pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
44%
+17.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
56%
-17.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamaika EU Bookmakers 19%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +54%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jamaika
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 0.43
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
448 Passes 172
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2023 Jamaika Jamaika 0-3 HT 0-2 Meksika Meksika GK
27.03.2023 Meksika Meksika 2-2 HT 2-2 Jamaika Jamaika CON
15.06.2022 Jamaika Jamaika 1-1 HT 1-1 Meksika Meksika CON
28.01.2022 Jamaika Jamaika 1-2 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika DKE
03.09.2021 Meksika Meksika 2-1 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
24.07.2017 Meksika Meksika 0-1 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
1-0
AWAY Jamaika
0.97 xG 0.51
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
426 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Jamaika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika edged past Jamaika 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Meksika had 61% of the ball to Jamaika's 39%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 0.97 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Meksika and 1.00 for Jamaika.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Jamaika?

Meksika 1-0 Jamaika in the Copa America on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Jamaika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Meksika 48%, draw 31%, Jamaika 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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