Baranovichi 1-3 Niva Dolbizno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 49%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.83/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-47% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baranovichi
1-3
AWAY Niva Dolbizno
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs Niva Dolbizno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niva Dolbizno saw off Baranovichi 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Niva Dolbizno as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Baranovichi had 37% of the ball to Niva Dolbizno's 63%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Niva Dolbizno?

Baranovichi 1-3 Niva Dolbizno in the Belarus - 1st Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Niva Dolbizno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Niva Dolbizno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 31%, draw 27%, Niva Dolbizno 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niva Dolbizno), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) ✓ Over 2.5
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