Lida 0-1 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 23 Jun 2024

Lida
0-1 HT 0-0
Orsha
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.8pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lida EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.07/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.11
-34% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lida
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Orsha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2023 Orsha Orsha 0-3 HT 0-1 Lida Lida BLR1
09.04.2023 Lida Lida 0-0 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
31.10.2021 Orsha Orsha 2-1 HT 1-0 Lida Lida BLR1
15.08.2021 Lida Lida 0-2 HT 0-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
22.05.2021 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 1-1 Lida Lida BLR1
15.11.2020 Lida Lida 1-5 HT 1-3 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lida
0-1
AWAY Orsha
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lida vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha edged past Lida 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Orsha made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lida had 42% of the ball to Orsha's 58%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orsha led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lida and 1.67 for Orsha.

What was the final score of Lida vs Orsha?

Lida 0-1 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lida vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lida win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lida 42%, draw 21%, Orsha 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lida), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lida) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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