Ituano vs Brusque Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituano v Brusque — Team-Based Signals
Ituano vs Brusque Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Brusque
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Ituano
BR2
3-1
HT 2-1
Brusque
BRE3
2-0
HT 1-0
Ituano
BRE3
Ituano 1-1 Brusque — Actual Match Statistics
Ituano and Brusque shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Ituano at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
On the day, Ituano had 47% of the ball to Brusque's 53%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.72 to 2.61.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ituano had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ituano and 0.75 for Brusque.
What was the final score of Ituano vs Brusque?
Ituano 1-1 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituano vs Brusque?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ituano 46%, draw 27%, Brusque 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ituano), BTTS No went the other way.