Maghreb Fes 0-2 FAR Rabat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Cup, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.78
6+ Goals
11%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.2pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FAR Rabat EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
220 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FAR Rabat
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 3-1 HT 1-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
08.12.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-3 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
17.06.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-1 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
18.01.2023 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 1-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
23.06.2022 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
24.11.2021 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-0 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs FAR Rabat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAR Rabat beat Maghreb Fes 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FAR Rabat as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAR Rabat led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maghreb Fes and 1.50 for FAR Rabat.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs FAR Rabat?

Maghreb Fes 0-2 FAR Rabat in the Morocco - Cup on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs FAR Rabat?

Before kick-off our model rated an FAR Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 16%, draw 27%, FAR Rabat 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAR Rabat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FAR Rabat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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