Hwaseong vs Changwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hwaseong v Changwon City — Team-Based Signals
Hwaseong vs Changwon City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Hwaseong
GK3L
1-0
HT 1-0
Changwon City
GK3L
2-0
HT 2-0
Changwon City
GK3L
0-0
HT 0-0
Hwaseong
GK3L
0-1
HT 0-0
Hwaseong
GK3L
2-1
HT 0-0
Changwon City
GK3L
Changwon City nicked a narrow win over Hwaseong 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Hwaseong at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hwaseong had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hwaseong and 0.33 for Changwon City.
What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Changwon City?
Hwaseong 4-5 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Changwon City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 41%, draw 25%, Changwon City 35%. The final score 4-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.