Siheung Citizen 3-1 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.81
No
65%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
51%
-15.9pp
65%
BTTS No
49%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 15%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.19
+150% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Corners 8
26.08.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
29.04.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
20.08.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-1 HT 0-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
23.04.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 1-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen beat Busan Transportation 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.50 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Siheung Citizen 3-1 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 61%, draw 20%, Busan Transportation 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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