Incheon United 1-3 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Jun 2024

Incheon United
1-3 HT 0-1
Pohang Steelers
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.02
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
19%
5.53
X/2
16%
5.29
X/X
14%
4.05
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
7%
3.78
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Pohang Steelers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +7%
0.90/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.23
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
16.8 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 0.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 435
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
20.10.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
25.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
30.04.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-2 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
16.10.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK

Incheon United 1-3 Pohang Steelers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-3
AWAY Pohang Steelers
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 16
2 Corners 6
446 Passes 650
87% Pass Accuracy 91%
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers saw off Incheon United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Pohang Steelers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Incheon United had 34% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 66%, shots finished 5-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Incheon United and 0.83 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?

Incheon United 1-3 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 39%, draw 28%, Pohang Steelers 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Incheon United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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