Jeju United 2-3 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Jun 2024

Jeju United
2-3 HT 1-1
Ulsan Hyundai
📅23/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.1
1/2
10%
23.15
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
12%
7.26
X/2
11%
4.53
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.66
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeju United v Ulsan Hyundai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.25/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.94
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
14.1 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.57 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 427
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
21.07.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
28.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 5-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
02.04.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 1-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
23.10.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Jeju United 2-3 Ulsan Hyundai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
2-3
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
323 Passes 472
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Ulsan Hyundai made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeju United had 47% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 53%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeju United and 2.50 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Jeju United 2-3 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 34%, draw 27%, Ulsan Hyundai 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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