Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Apr 2024

Ulsan Hyundai
3-1 HT 0-0
Jeju United
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
21%
3.91
X/2
8%
10.15
X/X
10%
5.49
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
11%
7.75
2/X
8%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulsan Hyundai v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 22%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.75/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.15
+31% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
18.2 Crosses 12.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.54 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
439 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
28.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 5-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
02.04.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 1-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
23.10.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
27.08.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK

Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3-1
AWAY Jeju United
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai saw off Jeju United 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 53% of the ball to Jeju United's 47%, shots finished 22-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.17 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju United?

Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 50%, draw 24%, Jeju United 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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