Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
7%
8.88
X/X
12%
4.38
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
16%
7.29
2/X
8%
15.4
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.29 — our 16% vs market 9.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.72/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.49
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.9 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Daegu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.17 xG 0.88
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
498 Passes 202
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
30.09.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-3 HT 1-2 Daegu Daegu GKOK
07.06.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
19.03.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
10.09.2022 Daegu Daegu 0-5 HT 0-2 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
18.08.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2-2
AWAY Daegu
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
308 Passes 419
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors and Daegu shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonbuk Motors at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 43% of the ball to Daegu's 57%, shots finished 12-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 1.17 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Daegu?

Jeonbuk Motors 2-2 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 45%, draw 25%, Daegu 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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