Pyramids 3-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.2pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.62/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.45
+7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
20.0 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.59 xG 0.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
466 Passes 196
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-2 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
05.04.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
07.12.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
06.08.2022 Pyramids Pyramids 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
04.03.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-2 HT 0-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
16.07.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-2 HT 0-2 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
3-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.86 xG 0.11
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
515 Passes 155
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids beat Al Mokawloon 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pyramids had 73% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 27%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.86 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pyramids and 0.00 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs Al Mokawloon?

Pyramids 3-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 56%, draw 26%, Al Mokawloon 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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