Aalesund 1-2 Ranheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.9
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
30%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.2pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ranheim EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.79/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.51
-51% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
0W-4D-0L
AWAY Ranheim
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2021 Ranheim Ranheim 3-3 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
22.09.2021 Ranheim Ranheim 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
18.08.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 0-1 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
29.05.2013 Ranheim Ranheim 2-2 HT 2-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Ranheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ranheim edged past Aalesund 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Ranheim made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Aalesund and 1.75 for Ranheim.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Ranheim?

Aalesund 1-2 Ranheim in the Norway - 1st Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Ranheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ranheim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 33%, draw 29%, Ranheim 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ranheim), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ranheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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