Raufoss 2-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 30% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -24%
1.31/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.63
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Start
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 HT 1-0 Start Start NOR1
30.04.2023 Start Start 1-3 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
17.09.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 1-2 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR1
26.05.2022 Start Start 2-2 HT 2-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
29.09.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 1-3 HT 0-2 Start Start NOR1
17.07.2021 Start Start 1-1 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raufoss
2-1
AWAY Start
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss squeezed past Start 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Raufoss as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Raufoss had 47% of the ball to Start's 53%, shots finished 15-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Raufoss and 1.67 for Start.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Start?

Raufoss 2-1 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 41%, draw 29%, Start 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raufoss) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raufoss) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
23 Jun 2024
18:00 Asane vs Moss Analysis →
18:00 Valerenga vs Sandnes Ulf Analysis →
18:00 Bryne vs Lyn Oslo Analysis →
18:00 Stabaek vs Levanger Analysis →
18:00 Mjondalen vs Egersunds Analysis →
18:00 Aalesund vs Ranheim Analysis →