Hodd 1-0 Sotra SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 28% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 25%
+20% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.85/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.62
-15% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hodd
1-0
AWAY Sotra SK
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Sotra SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd nicked a narrow win over Sotra SK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hodd had 43% of the ball to Sotra SK's 57%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Sotra SK?

Hodd 1-0 Sotra SK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Sotra SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hodd 51%, draw 24%, Sotra SK 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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