Orn Horten 0-2 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.55
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.95/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.76
+0% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orn Horten
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-2 HT 2-0 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
15.04.2023 Orn Horten Orn Horten 3-0 HT 1-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
17.09.2022 Orn Horten Orn Horten 1-1 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
30.04.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-0 HT 1-0 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orn Horten
0-2
AWAY Vard Haugesund
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orn Horten vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund saw off Orn Horten 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Orn Horten at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Orn Horten had 55% of the ball to Vard Haugesund's 45%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orn Horten and 1.25 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Orn Horten vs Vard Haugesund?

Orn Horten 0-2 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orn Horten vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orn Horten win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Orn Horten 48%, draw 25%, Vard Haugesund 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orn Horten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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