Etoile Du Sahel 2-4 Stade Tunisien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.36
Over 2.5
42%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
70%
-12.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
30%
+12.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.2pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Du Sahel
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stade Tunisien
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN
17.03.2024 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 1-1 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN
30.12.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
07.10.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
02.02.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-2 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
05.05.2021 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 1-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
POST-MATCH Etoile Du Sahel vs Stade Tunisien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien got the better of Etoile Du Sahel 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Stade Tunisien found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Etoile Du Sahel and 0.33 for Stade Tunisien.

What was the final score of Etoile Du Sahel vs Stade Tunisien?

Etoile Du Sahel 2-4 Stade Tunisien in the Tunisia - Cup on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Du Sahel vs Stade Tunisien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Etoile Du Sahel 32%, draw 33%, Stade Tunisien 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Tunisien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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