Differdange 03 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.62
Over 2.5
53%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
58%
-10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
42%
+10.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Differdange 03 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Differdange 03
1-0
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Differdange 03 vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Differdange 03 edged past Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Differdange 03 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Differdange 03 had 44% of the ball to Ordabasy Shymkent's 56%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Differdange 03 vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Differdange 03 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Differdange 03 vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Differdange 03 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Differdange 03 41%, draw 28%, Ordabasy Shymkent 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Differdange 03) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Differdange 03) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul 2024
19:00 Ballkani vs Hamrun Spartans Analysis →
22:00 Virtus vs FC Flora Tallinn Analysis →