Virtus 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
53%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 26% vs market 17.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+12.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-13.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus
0-0
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus and FC Flora Tallinn fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Virtus had 34% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 66%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Virtus vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Virtus 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Virtus 27%, draw 20%, FC Flora Tallinn 53%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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