Hougang United 1-0 Albirex Niigata S — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Singapore Premier League, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.25
No
36%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
76%
-12.1pp
36%
BTTS No
24%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hougang United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata S EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.95/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.77
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
270 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hougang United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Albirex Niigata S
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 22
10 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 1-0 HT 1-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
16.09.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 5-0 HT 3-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
06.05.2023 Hougang United Hougang United 0-5 HT 0-3 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNP
15.03.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 2-0 HT 1-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
19.02.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 3-0 HT 0-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNCS
15.11.2022 Hougang United Hougang United 4-2 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hougang United
1-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata S
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hougang United vs Albirex Niigata S
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hougang United squeezed past Albirex Niigata S 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Hougang United made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hougang United had 40% of the ball to Albirex Niigata S's 60%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata S led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hougang United and 3.00 for Albirex Niigata S.

What was the final score of Hougang United vs Albirex Niigata S?

Hougang United 1-0 Albirex Niigata S in the Singapore Premier League on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hougang United vs Albirex Niigata S?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hougang United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hougang United 39%, draw 23%, Albirex Niigata S 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hougang United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hougang United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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