FC Levadia 1-0 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-40% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
1-0
AWAY Saburtalo
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia edged past Saburtalo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day FC Levadia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 57% of the ball to Saburtalo's 43%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Saburtalo?

FC Levadia 1-0 Saburtalo in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 40%, draw 29%, Saburtalo 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ BTTS Yes
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