The New Saints 0-1 Differdange 03 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Differdange 03 EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
0-1
AWAY Differdange 03
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Differdange 03
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Differdange 03 edged past The New Saints 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was The New Saints at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, The New Saints had 62% of the ball to Differdange 03's 38%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Differdange 03?

The New Saints 0-1 Differdange 03 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Differdange 03?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 41%, draw 30%, Differdange 03 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (The New Saints) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul 2025
18:30 Zira vs Hajduk Split Analysis →
19:30 FC Levadia vs Saburtalo Analysis →
20:00 Silkeborg IF vs KA Akureyri Analysis →
21:00 Olimpija Ljubljana vs Inter Club Analysis →
22:00 Buducnost Podgorica vs Milsami Analysis →