Zalgiris II 1-0 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Jul 2025

Zalgiris II
1-0 HT 1-0
Be1 NFA
📅23/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2025

Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zalgiris II v Be1 NFA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 30%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.23/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.28
+42% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
485 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Be1 NFA
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 0-1 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
10.04.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 3-0 HT 3-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
29.10.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
24.06.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 0-3 HT 0-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1

Zalgiris II 1-0 Be1 NFA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
1-0
AWAY Be1 NFA
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II edged past Be1 NFA 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 45% of the ball to Be1 NFA's 55%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Zalgiris II and 2.00 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA?

Zalgiris II 1-0 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 44%, draw 27%, Be1 NFA 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
23 Jul 2025
18:00 BFA vs Ekranas Analysis →
18:00 Lietava Jonava vs TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis →