BFA 1-0 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Jul 2025

BFA
1-0 HT 1-0
Ekranas
📅23/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2025

BFA vs Ekranas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-14.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.8pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BFA v Ekranas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.92/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.53
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

BFA vs Ekranas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ekranas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Ekranas Ekranas 0-2 BFA BFA LIT1
04.08.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
09.03.2024 BFA BFA 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
12.08.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
25.04.2023 BFA BFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LITK
26.03.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH BFA vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA squeezed past Ekranas 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFA had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for BFA and 0.67 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of BFA vs Ekranas?

BFA 1-0 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split BFA 54%, draw 24%, Ekranas 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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