Ekranas 1-1 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

Ekranas
1-1 HT 1-0
BFA
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.26/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.99
-20% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
1W-1D-3L
AWAY BFA
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2024 BFA BFA 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
12.08.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
25.04.2023 BFA BFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LITK
26.03.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
10.09.2022 BFA BFA 4-1 HT 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas and BFA shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, BFA led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Ekranas and 1.80 for BFA.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs BFA?

Ekranas 1-1 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekranas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 39%, draw 26%, BFA 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ekranas), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ekranas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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