BFA 1-1 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

BFA
1-1
Ekranas
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

BFA vs Ekranas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.53
No
57%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
36%
+11.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
61%
-18.5pp
57%
BTTS No
39%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BFA v Ekranas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.72/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.15
+17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

BFA vs Ekranas Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Ekranas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
25.04.2023 BFA BFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LITK
26.03.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
10.09.2022 BFA BFA 4-1 HT 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH BFA vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA and Ekranas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was BFA at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, BFA had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFA and 0.75 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of BFA vs Ekranas?

BFA 1-1 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BFA 47%, draw 23%, Ekranas 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BFA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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