09/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
FK Riteriai vs Tauras Taurage Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
21%
Draw
19%
28%
Away Win
18%
41%
Under 2.5
28%
59%
Over 2.5
72%
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
48%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Riteriai v Tauras Taurage — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FK Riteriai
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tauras Taurage
EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-20%
/
+27%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
414 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
312 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
FK Riteriai vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FK Riteriai saw off Tauras Taurage 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Riteriai as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Tauras Taurage?
FK Riteriai 2-0 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Tauras Taurage?
Before kick-off our model rated a FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 51%, draw 21%, Tauras Taurage 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Riteriai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FK Riteriai)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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