TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 25%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.98/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.10
+14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.09.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai nicked a narrow win over TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. TransINVEST Vilnius carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 60% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 40%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?

TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 57%, draw 24%, Dziugas Telsiai 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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