Be1 NFA 2-0 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
3.46
Over 2.5
72%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
81%
-10.1pp
14%
Draw
12%
+2.8pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.3pp
28%
Under 2.5
25%
+2.9pp
72%
Over 2.5
75%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.41/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
+2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
460 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hegelmann II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.03.2024 Hegelmann II 1-3 HT 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
2-0
AWAY Hegelmann II
67% Ball Possession 33%
30 Total Shots 7
16 Shots on Target 1
16 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Be1 NFA saw off Hegelmann II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Be1 NFA as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (72%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 67% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 33%, shots finished 30-7.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II?

Be1 NFA 2-0 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 71%, draw 14%, Hegelmann II 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Be1 NFA) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✗ Over 2.5
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