Ekranas 0-2 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 66%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY BFA
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.08.2024 Ekranas Ekranas 1-1 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
09.03.2024 BFA BFA 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
12.08.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
25.04.2023 BFA BFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LITK
26.03.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
10.09.2022 BFA BFA 4-1 HT 1-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA saw off Ekranas 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFA led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ekranas and 1.67 for BFA.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs BFA?

Ekranas 0-2 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 25%, draw 26%, BFA 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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