AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.63
2-3 Goals
47%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Larnaca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Larnaca
0-1
AWAY Beitar
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AEK Larnaca vs Beitar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar nicked a narrow win over AEK Larnaca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AEK Larnaca at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of AEK Larnaca vs Beitar?

AEK Larnaca 0-1 Beitar in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Larnaca vs Beitar?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Larnaca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AEK Larnaca 49%, draw 24%, Beitar 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AEK Larnaca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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