23/07/2026
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Liepaja vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37
— our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
20%
Draw
20%
54%
Away Win
64%
49%
Under 2.5
47%
51%
Over 2.5
53%
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
53%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Liepaja
EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY
Austria Wien
EU Bookmakers 69%
+17% /
+17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+29% /
+29%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+8%
/
-10%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
8
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
232 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
458 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
–
Liepaja 0-2 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Liepaja
0-2
AWAY
Austria Wien
1.10
xG
1.06
14
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
340
Passes
356
31
Box Touches
31
31
Crosses
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
FAQ
Liepaja vs Austria Wien
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Austria Wien beat Liepaja 2-0 away from home in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.10 to 1.06.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs Austria Wien?
Liepaja 0-2 Austria Wien in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Austria Wien?
Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 26%, draw 20%, Austria Wien 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Austria Wien)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
AVKL
More UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul 2026