FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

FC Flora Tallinn
1-0 HT 1-0
The New Saints
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2026/2027

FC Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 28% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Flora Tallinn v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.25
+36% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
26.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2

FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New Saints — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-0
AWAY The New Saints
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ FC Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Flora Tallinn edged past The New Saints 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23 Jul 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 The New Saints in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 38%, draw 25%, The New Saints 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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