Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

Aluminij
1-1 HT 0-1
Dinamo Tirana
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2026/2027

Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminij v Dinamo Tirana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tirana EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Tirana
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana?

Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo Tirana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 36%, draw 30%, Dinamo Tirana 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aluminij), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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