Dunajska Streda 1-0 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-8.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 14%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.00/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
-12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +120%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunajska Streda
1-0
AWAY Velez Mostar
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dunajska Streda vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda edged past Velez Mostar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dunajska Streda as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Dunajska Streda vs Velez Mostar?

Dunajska Streda 1-0 Velez Mostar in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunajska Streda vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dunajska Streda 61%, draw 20%, Velez Mostar 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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