GAIS 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

GAIS
1-0 HT 1-0
FC Nordsjaelland
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2026/2027

GAIS vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GAIS v FC Nordsjaelland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

GAIS 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
1-0
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.07 xG 0.49
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
310 Passes 498
11 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH GAIS vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS nicked a narrow win over FC Nordsjaelland 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.07 to 0.49.

What was the final score of GAIS vs FC Nordsjaelland?

GAIS 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split GAIS 33%, draw 23%, FC Nordsjaelland 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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