Lugano vs Dukagjini Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugano v Dukagjini — Team-Based Signals
Lugano 1-0 Dukagjini — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano squeezed past Dukagjini 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.47 to 0.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lugano's control.
What was the final score of Lugano vs Dukagjini?
Lugano 1-0 Dukagjini in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugano vs Dukagjini?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Lugano 68%, draw 19%, Dukagjini 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.