NK Varazdin 3-2 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.51
6+ Goals
13%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
3-2
AWAY Jablonec
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ NK Varazdin vs Jablonec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

NK Varazdin edged past Jablonec 3-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Jablonec?

NK Varazdin 3-2 Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 39%, draw 26%, Jablonec 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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