Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

Paide Linnameeskond
1-0 HT 0-0
Zira
📅23/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2026/2027

Paide Linnameeskond vs Zira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
60%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
60%
Away Win
62%
-2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paide Linnameeskond v Zira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 67%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Zira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-0
AWAY Zira
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond edged past Zira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Zira carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Zira?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Zira in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 18%, draw 22%, Zira 60%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zira), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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