Polessya 3-3 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polessya
3-3
AWAY Kopenhag
2.87 xG 0.87
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
394 Passes 405
27 Box Touches 22
32 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya and Kopenhag couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kopenhag at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.87 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Kopenhag?

Polessya 3-3 Kopenhag in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Polessya 30%, draw 25%, Kopenhag 45%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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